BREAKING: DONALD TRUMP UP 8 POINTS IN IOWA!
BREAKING: IOWA
DJT 45 (was 44 in July)
HRC 37 (down from 42)
GJ 8 (6)
JS 2 (1)#IASen
Grassley 56
Judge 39https://t.co/R1zqM7UNA5— MonmouthPoll (@MonmouthPoll) September 15, 2016
Monmouth reported:
Donald Trump now has an 8 point lead over Hillary Clinton in the battle for Iowa’s electoral votes, according to the Monmouth University Poll . He held a slimmer 2 point edge in July. In the race for U.S. Senate, incumbent Chuck Grassley maintains a double digit advantage over Democratic challenger Patty Judge.
Among Iowa voters likely to participate in November’s presidential election, 45% currently support Trump and 37% back Clinton. Another 8% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 2% say they will support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 2% say they will vote for another candidate, and 6% are undecided. Trump’s current standing is similar to his 44% share two months ago, but Clinton has lost support since July when she had a 42% vote share.
Monmouth weighted the poll based on US Census information:
The final sample is weighted for age, gender, race and partisanship based on voter list and U.S. Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field), Aristotle voter list sample), and SSI (RDD sample). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into thefindings of opinion polls.
DEMOGRAPHICS (weighted)
Self-Reported
29% Republican
47% Independent
24% Democrat
The poll did not go unnoticed by the Trump campaign.
Trump leads by 8 points in new Iowa #poll via @MonmouthPoll
Trump 45 (was 44 in July)
Clinton 37 (down from 42)— Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) September 15, 2016
