Nearly half of France’s enormous Muslim population would consider leaving the country if Marine Le Pen wins the presidency next year, according to a new poll.
The IFOP survey, published by French weekly Marianne, found that 46 percent of Muslim respondents would contemplate emigrating following a Le Pen victory.
Approximately seven million Muslims are estimated to live in France, many of whom have come from former French colonies such as Algeria, Morocco and Cameroon.
The country is currently gripped by mass protests that are supposedly about the declining state of French education, although they are more about promoting Islamism and undermining traditional French culture.
“French” student protests across France. pic.twitter.com/rjbtBSu2U3
— RadioGenoa (@RadioGenoa) October 1, 2026
The striking finding comes as immigration, Islam and French national identity remain major issues ahead of the 2027 presidential election.
— 46% des musulmans envisagent de quitter la France en cas de victoire de Marine Le Pen à l’élection présidentielle de 2027, selon un sondage Ifop pour Marianne. pic.twitter.com/cQbWRX5YTl
— Bastion (@BastionMediaFR) October 14, 2026
Le Pen has long advocated dramatically reducing immigration and strengthening France’s secularism laws, including restrictions on the wearing of Islamic religious clothing.
France already has some of Europe’s strictest rules governing religious dress, although the poll found considerable public support for going further.
According to the survey, 53 percent opposed allowing the Islamic veil to be worn in public streets, while 75 percent supported the existing prohibition on abayas in state secondary schools.
Another 72 percent supported banning conspicuous religious symbols during sporting competitions.
Le Pen has previously proposed extending restrictions to the hijab in public spaces.
She has since indicated that such a measure would not simply be imposed upon taking office but would instead be submitted to the French people in a referendum.
As has been seen following Trump’s victories in 2016 and 2024, many leftists claim they will leave a country before eventually declining to do so.
Nevertheless, the findings illustrate the stakes of next year’s presidential election, in which Le Pen is leading the polls.
Recent surveys place her at around 35 percent in the first round, well ahead of the other candidates.
An October Harris Interactive poll also showed her comfortably ahead in hypothetical second-round contests, defeating former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe by 56–44 percent and communist firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 67–33 percent.
– :
Marine Le Pen : 68 %
Jean-Luc Mélenchon : 32 %(Odoxa – Public Sénat) pic.twitter.com/IQDqNS2t2S
— Actu & Politique (@actuetpolitique) October 14, 2026
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